Some Misleading Arguments Involving Conditional Independence
A. P. Dawid · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) · 1979
Summary Some misleading arguments in probability theory and statistics are examined, and shown to have a common structure, expressible in terms of conditional independence. Using an informal approach (which can be rigorized) the arguments are corrected by finding what conclusions are justified in general, and thus showing what further condition is needed to make the original arguments valid.