Identifying Key Factors to Affect Bus Headway Deviation using Hierarchical Linear Model (Seoul Case Study)
Hosang Lee, Do‐Gyeong Kim, Yeong-Chan Kim, Gyeong-Su Hwang · Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for transportation studies/Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies · 2009
It has been known that bus route and company related characteristics have influences on punctuality, but fewer research have been conducted. Independent variables used in this study were selected using correlation analysis, and OLS(Ordinary Least Square) and HLM(Hierarchical Linear Model) were employed to identify factors affecting bus punctuality(headway deviation). The results showed that ICC(intraclass Correlation Coefficient) is 0.10, indicating that hierarchical linear models are more adequate for these data because there is effective variation in the subjects between companies. Punctuality was found to be negatively associated with the number of vehicles, the number of persons per vehicle, and total travel time. On the other hand, average headway and company size have a positive relationship with punctuality. Therefore, the number of vehicles per route, average headway, and the number of vehicles managed by a company should be considered for more accurately evaluating the management of piunctuality.