Comparisons Between Frequency Distributions Based on Gini’s Approach: Principal Component Analysis Addressed to Time Series

Pierpaolo Angelini · Econometrics · 2025

In this paper, time series of length T are seen as frequency distributions. Each distribution is defined with respect to a statistical variable having T observed values. A methodological system based on Gini’s approach is put forward, so the statistical model through which time series are handled is a frequency distribution studied inside a linear system. In addition to the starting frequency distributions that are observed, other frequency distributions are treated. Thus, marginal distributions based on the notion of proportionality are introduced together with joint distributions. Both distributions are statistical models. A fundamental invariance property related to marginal distributions is made explicit in this research work, so one can focus on collections of marginal frequency distributions, identifying multiple frequency distributions. For this reason, the latter is studied via a tensor. As frequency distributions are practical realizations of nonparametric probability distributions over R, one passes from frequency distributions to discrete random variables. In this paper, a mathematical model that generates time series is put forward. It is a stochastic process based on subjective previsions of random variables. A subdivision of the exchangeability of variables of a statistical nature is shown, so a reinterpretation of principal component analysis that is based on the notion of proportionality also characterizes this research work.

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