Cost Prediction for Power Transmission and Transformation Projects in High-Altitude Regions Based on a Hybrid Deep-Learning Algorithm
Shasha Peng, Ya Zuo, Xiangping Li, Mingrui Zhao, Bingkang Li · Processes · 2025
Energy resources are abundant in high-altitude regions, and the construction of power transmission and transformation projects has important value. However, harsh natural environments can increase project costs. To address the issue of insufficient accuracy caused by the impact of extreme weather factors on cost predictions for power transmission and transformation projects in high-altitude regions, this paper first constructs a four-dimensional influencing factor system covering climate and environment, engineering scale, material consumption, and technological economy. On this basis, a hybrid deep-learning model combining an improved whale optimization algorithm (IWOA) and a convolutional neural network (CNN) is then proposed. The model improves the training accuracy of CNNs and avoids falling into local optima through the use of an SGDM optimizer, the L2 regularization method, and the Bayesian optimization method. Nonlinear convergence factors and adaptive weights are introduced to enhance the WOA’s ability to optimize the CNN’s learning rate. The case analysis results show that, compared with the comparison model, the proposed IWOA-CNN model exhibits a better convergence performance and fitting effect in the training set and a better prediction effect on the test set. Its mean absolute percentage error is as low as 1.51%, which is 10.1% lower than the optimal comparison model. The root mean square error is reduced to 5.07, and the sum of squared errors is reduced by 72.4%, demonstrating high prediction accuracy. The comparative analysis of scenarios further confirms the crucial role of climate environment; that is, the prediction accuracy of models containing a climate dimension is improved by 51.6% compared to models without such a climate dimension, indicating that the nonlinear impact of low temperatures, frozen soil, and other characteristics of high-altitude regions on costs cannot be ignored. The research results of this paper enrich the method system and application scenarios for the cost prediction for power transmission and transformation projects and provide theoretical reference for engineering predictions in other complex geographical environments.