Advanced Web Traffic Modelling and Forecasting with a Hybrid Predictive Approach
Ujjwal Singh Thakur, Sunil K. Singh, Sudhakar Kumar, Harmanjot Singh, Varsha Arya, Brij Bhooshan Gupta, Razaz Waheeb Attar, Ahmed Alhomoud, Kwok Tai Chui · Journal of Web Engineering · 2025
Web traffic analysis is crucial for optimising user experience and engagement. This research explores a hybrid approach combining traditional statistical methods, like the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, with advanced techniques such as long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks and the Prophet model. ARIMA effectively captures linear trends, seasonal effects, and cyclic behaviours, while LSTM handles complex non-linear patterns, and Prophet addresses seasonal variations and missing data. The hybrid model demonstrated 93% accuracy in predicting web traffic, highlighting the benefits of integrating these methodologies. This approach enables businesses to better manage resources, boost user engagement, and improve revenue. Future research will focus on refining hybrid models by incorporating new data features and ensemble methods to further enhance prediction accuracy, ultimately advancing the understanding of web traffic trends and user behaviour.