On the unification of zero-adjusted cure survival models

Francisco Louzada, Pedro Luiz Ramos, Hayala Cristina Cavenague de Souza, Lawal O. Oyeneyin, Gleici da Silva Castro Perdoná · Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation · 2025

This paper proposes a unified version of survival models that accounts for both zero-adjustment and cure proportions in various latent competing causes, useful in data where survival times may be zero or cure proportions are present. These models are particularly relevant in scenarios like childbirth duration in sub-Saharan Africa. Different competing cause distributions were considered, including Binomial, Geometric, Poisson, and Negative Binomial. The model’s maximum likelihood point estimators and asymptotic confidence intervals were evaluated through simulation, demonstrating improved accuracy with larger sample sizes. The model best fits real obstetric data when assuming geometrically distributed causes. This flexible model, capable of considering different distributions for the lifetime of susceptible individuals and competing causes, is an effective tool for adjusting survival data, indicating broad application potential.

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