An Informer Based Alarm Early Prediction Method Over Consecutive Alarm Monitoring Periods
Wenbin Jiang, Wenkai Hu, Zhe Liu, Fei Wang · 2024
Alarm systems serve as the first layer of protection for modern process industries to monitor industrial processes and ensure operational safety. However, the presence of alarm floods is common in alarm systems and may distract operators from critical alarms. To provide decision supports to operators during alarm flood situations, alarm prediction becomes a potential effective solution. The difficulty of alarm prediction lies in how to achieve high prediction accuracy over long-term consecutive alarm monitoring periods, including situations with either high or low alarm rates. Consequently, this paper presents an industrial alarm prediction method for both alarm flood periods and non-alarm flood periods. Specifically, a strategy of combining fixed-length and fixed-time sliding windows is designed. Further, an alarm prediction model based on Informer is proposed for alarm prediction under different alarm rates. A case study is presented to prove the validity of the proposed alarm prediction method.