[Water Quality Prediction Model for the Pearl River Estuary Based on BiLSTM Improved with Attention Mechanism].

Zhengtong Chen, Xiao-Fang Li · PubMed · 2024

) was 98.3 %. Compared with that of Multi-BiLSTM, Multi-LSTM, BiLSTM, and LSTM, the results showed that the new model had the highest prediction accuracy, which verified the accuracy of the model. ② Both the number of training samples and the number of forecasting steps affected the prediction accuracy of the model, and the prediction accuracy of the model increased with the increase of the training samples. When predicting the total phosphorus of the Zhuhaidaqiao section, more than 240 training samples could obtain higher prediction accuracy. Increasing the number of prediction steps caused the prediction accuracy of the model to decline rapidly, and the reliability of the model prediction could not be guaranteed when the number of prediction steps was greater than 5. ③ When the new model was applied to the prediction of different water quality indexes in eight estuaries of the Pearl River, the prediction results had high precision and the model had strong generalization ability. The input data of upstream water quality, rainfall, and other characteristic parameters associated with the section prediction index of the object could improve the prediction accuracy of the model. Through many tests, the results showed that the new model could meet the requirements of precision, applicability, and expansibility of water quality prediction in the Pearl River Estuary and thus is a new exploration method for high-precision prediction of water quality in complex hydrodynamic environments.

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