On the Certainty of an Inductive Inference: The Binomial Case

Frank Tuyl, Richard Gerlach, Kerrie Lee Mengersen · Statistical Science · 2024

In the context of the binomial distribution, the potential need for a prior point mass on θ=0(1), given x=0(n), was identified more than 100 years ago by Jeffreys. Given previous proposals to implement such a point mass, a slightly different approach is proposed, followed by the corresponding posterior probability of “homogeneity” and posterior predictive distribution.

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