Model of an Expert System for Forecasting Forest Fires Based on a Bayesian Belief Network

S. A. Ivanov · INFORMACIONNYE TEHNOLOGII · 2024

The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.

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