pySODM: Simulating and optimizing dynamical models in Python 3

Tijs W. Alleman, Christian Victor Stevens, Jan Marcel Baetens · Journal of Computational Science · 2023

In this work we present our generic framework to construct, simulate and calibrate dynamical systems in Python 3. Its goal is to reduce the time it takes to implement a dynamical system with n -dimensional states represented by coupled ordinary differential equations (ODEs), simulate the system deterministically or stochastically, and, calibrate the system using n -dimensional data. We demonstrate our code’s capabilities by building three models in the context of two case studies. First, we forecast the yields of the enzymatic esterification reaction of D-glucose and lauric acid, performed in a continuous-flow, packed-bed reactor. The model yields a satisfactory description of the reaction yields under different flow rates and can be applied to design a viable process. Second, we build a stochastic, age-stratified model to make forecasts on the evolution of influenza in Belgium during the 2017–2018 season. Using only limited data, our simple model was able to make a fairly accurate assessment of the future course of the epidemic. By presenting real-world case studies from two scientific disciplines, we demonstrate our code’s applicability across domains.

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