Forecasting and Detecting Anomalies in ADLs in Single-Resident Elderly Smart Homes
Zahraa Khais Shahid, Saguna Saguna, Christer Åhlund · 2023
As the ageing population increases, predictive health applications for the elderly can provide opportunities for more independent living, increase cost efficiency and improve the quality of health services for senior citizens. Human activity recognition within IoT-based smart homes can enable the detection of early health risks related to mild cognitive impairment by providing proactive measurements and interventions to both the elderly and supporting healthcare givers. In this paper, we developed and evaluated a Multivariate long short-term memory (LSTM) to learn to forecast activities of daily living and detect anomalous behaviour using motion sensor data in 6 single-resident smart homes of the elderly. We use Mahalanobis distance to identify anomalies based on distance scores to build thresholds. The model's performance in terms of NMAE error values ranges between 2% and 6%. The experimental results show that the performance of LSTM for predicting the direct next activity versus the multiple forecasts is close. The method could identify participants' changing health conditions through the used predictive model and unsupervised anomaly detection method.