Probabilistic Modeling and Inference
Steve Pressé, Ioannis Sgouralis · Cambridge University Press eBooks · 2023
In this chapter we provide an overview of data modeling and describe the formulation of probabilistic models. We introduce random variables, their probability distributions, associated probability densities, examples of common densities, and the fundamental theorem of simulation to draw samples from discrete or continuous probability distributions. We then present the mathematical machinery required in describing and handling probabilistic models, including models with complex variable dependencies. In doing so, we introduce the concepts of joint, conditional, and marginal probability distributions, marginalization, and ancestral sampling.