Neural Network Based Prediction of Terrorist Attacks Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence
Anna Rösner, ALEXANDER E. GEGOV, Djamila Ouelhadj, Adrian A. Hopgood, Serge Da Deppo · 2023
Al has transformed the field of terrorism prediction, allowing law enforcement agencies to identify potential threats much more quickly and accurately. This paper proposes a first-time application of a neural network to predict the "success" of a terrorist attack. The neural network attains an accuracy of 91.66% and an F1 score of 0.954. This accuracy and F1 score are higher than those achieved with alternative benchmark models. However, using Al for predictions in highstakes decisions also has limitations, including possible biases and ethical concerns. Therefore, the explainable Al (XAI) tool LIME is used to provide more insights into the algorithm's inner workings.