Bayesian Approach for Numerical Calculation of the Risk of Medical Evacuation by Vehicles
D. A. Demchuk, Konstantin Demchuk, Yu. V. Shevtsova, Aleksei Poletaikin · The Herald of the Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science · 2022
An original logical-probabilistic method for calculating the risk of critical patients’ medical evacuation by vehicles is proposed. A comprehensive estimation of road conditions and risk factors for transporting an intensive care patient as well as the calculation of a formal quantitative measure of transportation risk by the Bayesian inference method is considered. An effective instrument for estimating transportation risks for management decision making is developed.