Classification and Regression Machine Learning Models for Predicting Aerobic Ready and Inherent Biodegradation of Organic Chemicals in Water

Kuan Z. Huang, Huichun Judy Zhang · Environmental Science & Technology · 2022

Machine learning (ML) is viewed as a promising tool for the prediction of aerobic biodegradation, one of the most important elimination pathways of organic chemicals from the environment. However, available models only have small datasets ( O═C–O > OH > CH 3 > halogen > branching > N > 6-member ring. The consideration of chemical speciation based on p K a and α notations did not affect the regression model performance but significantly improved the classification model performance (the accuracy increased to 87.6%). The models also showed large applicability domains and provided reasonable predictions for more than 98% of over 850,000 environmentally relevant chemicals in the Distributed Structure-Searchable Toxicity database. These robust, trustable models were finally made widely accessible through two free online predictors with graphical user interface.

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