Extended COCOMO: robust and interpretable neuro-fuzzy modelling

Brajesh Kumar Singh, Shailesh Tiwari, K. K. Mishra, Akash Punhani · International Journal of Computational Vision and Robotics · 2020

Prediction of software development efforts is one of the crucial activities in software project management. Still, search for the perfect model for software cost estimation has become most difficult task of the organisations dealing in software development. This paper presents the extended version of COCOMO, which is done with the help of two very popular methods, i.e., artificial neural networks (ANN) and fuzzy logic. Firstly, the expert judgement about model is used for validation, and overpowers the common software engineering 'black box' problem that arises widely in ANN-based solutions. Moreover, we choose the best combination of one of the three membership functions for continuous-rating values, which reduce the variance while estimating the cost of similar projects. The validation, using 93 NASA projects dataset, shows that the model significantly improves the estimation accuracy in terms of mean magnitude of relative error (MMRE) by 10.104% relative to other known estimation models.

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