A hybrid method to predict scenarios in the Japanese software industry

Yasuo Kadono · International Journal of Innovation and Learning · 2015

In this paper we investigate the potential to predict future scenarios in the Japanese software industry, making use of a hybrid method: that is, we try to develop a new research framework by integrating data obtained from large-scale fact-finding surveys, statistical analyses based on dynamic modelling, and simulations. On this basis, we suggest guidelines for a global technology strategy for Japan’s software industry, with a view to winning a sustainable competitive advantage. Also, it should be possible to develop evidence-based visualisations of industry growth scenarios by integrating intellectual instruments such as management theory, research surveys, statistics, and simulations.

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