Use of Bayesian networks in forensic soil casework

Stefan Uitdehaag, Timme H. Donders, Irene Kuiper, Friederike Wagner‐Cremer, Marjan J. Sjerps · Science & Justice · 2022

Forensic soil comparisons can be of high evidential value in a forensic case, but become complex when multiple methods and factors are considered. Bayesian networks are well suited to support forensic practitioners in complex casework. This study discusses the structure of a Bayesian network, elaborates on the in- and output data and evaluates two examples, one using source level propositions and one using activity level propositions. These examples can be applied as a template to construct a case specific network and can be used to assess sensitivity of the target output to different factors and identify avenues for research.

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