Fuzzy Time Series using Chen and Lee Model to Predict COVID-19 in Aceh Indonesia

Siti Saadah, Mochamad Agung Permana · 2021 4th International Conference of Computer and Informatics Engineering (IC2IE) · 2021

Indonesia as a development country with huge of population and has five big islands need to study further about spread of COVID-19, especially in Aceh. Aceh is surrounded by water on three sides that are the Indian Ocean to the west and north and the Strait of Malaca to the east. Aceh as one of the provinces in Indonesia severe earthquakes in December 2004. To help monitor Aceh population, thus, in this study Aceh was chosen as the province to predict of survival COVID-19 that classify to ODP, PDP, and Positive using fuzzy time series approach. Fuzzy time series in one of the methods that have been used to predict seasonal issue, such as pandemic COVID-19. By using Chen and Lee model, this approach succeeds to fit the data actual during the predict phase.

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