An Integrated Approach To Evaluating Simulation Credibility
Paul R. Muessig, Dennis R. Laack, John J. Wrobleski · 2001
Discussions about simulation credibility tend to focus on the issue of 'validation', i.e., how well simulation predictions match real world observations. While validation is certainly a most direct and intuitively accessible measure of simulation credibility, the validation process has numerous well-known limitations. Validation is by no means the only measure of simulation credibility, however. This paper identifies and categorizes a spectrum of information that can be used to evaluate simulation credibility more robustly than reliance on validation results alone. It also describes a method by which the nature, scope and depth of information necessary to establish simulation credibility for a particular application can be determined from an analysis of the risks associated with that application.