On sampling error in evolutionary algorithms

Dirk Schweim, David Wittenberg, Franz Rothlauf · Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion · 2021

The initial population in evolutionary algorithms (EAs) should form a representative sample of all possible solutions (the search space). While large populations accurately approximate the distribution of possible solutions, small populations tend to incorporate a sampling error. A low sampling error at initialization is necessary (but not sufficient) for a reliable search since a low sampling error reduces the overall random variations in a random sample. For this reason, we have recently presented a model to determine a minimum initial population size so that the sampling error is lower than a threshold, given a confidence level. Our model allows practitioners of, for example, genetic programming (GP) and other EA variants to estimate a reasonable initial population size.

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