Producing near-real-time intelligence: predicting the world of tomorrow
A.I. Barros, Albertus C. van den Broek, J.A. van Dalen, B. van der Vecht, J. Wevers · Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) · 2014
The complexity and dynamics of current military operations demand reliable and up-to-date intelligence and in particular near-real-time threat assessment. This paper explores the potential of operational analysis techniques in supporting military personnel in processing information from different sources, in order to constantly carry out near-real time threat assessments of current situations and future developments. It introduces a near-real time threat assessment approach that integrates Bayesian Belief Networks and spatio-temporal modelling. This approach has been implemented in a near-real-time intelligence demonstrator to support threat assessment during operations.