Dynamic Functional Principal Components for Testing Causality

Matthieu Saumard, Bilal Hadjadji · Signals · 2021

In this paper, we investigate the causality in the sense of Granger for functional time series. The concept of causality for functional time series is defined, and a statistical procedure of testing the hypothesis of non-causality is proposed. The procedure is based on projections on dynamic functional principal components and the use of a multivariate Granger test. A comparative study with existing procedures shows the good results of our test. An illustration on a real dataset is provided to attest the performance of the proposed procedure.

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