Understanding people movement and detecting anomalies using probabilistic generative models
Hansson, Agnes · KTH Publication Database DiVA (KTH Royal Institute of Technology) · 2020
As intelligent access solutions begin to dominate the world, the statistical learning methods to answer for the behavior of these needs attention, as there is no clear answer to how an algorithm could learn and predict exactly how people move. This project aims at investigating if, with the help of unsupervised learning methods, it is possible to distinguish anomalies from normal events in an access system, and if the most probable choice of cylinder to be unlocked by a user can be calculated.Given to do this is a data set of the previous events in an access system, together with the access configurations - and the algorithms that were used consisted of an auto-encoder and a probabilistic generative model.The auto-encoder managed to, with success, encode the high-dimensional data set into one of significantly lower dimension, and the probabilistic generative model, which was chosen to be a Gaussian mixture model, identified clusters in the data and assigned a measure of unexpectedness to the events.Lastly, the probabilistic generative model was used to compute the conditional probability of which the user, given all the details except which cylinder that was chosen during an event, would choose a certain cylinder. The result of this was a correct guess in 65.7 % of the cases, which can be seen as a satisfactory number for something originating from an unsupervised problem.