An Application of Backpropagation Neural Network for Sales Forecasting Rice Miling Unit

Mendarissan Aritonang, Denny Jean Cross Sihombing · 2019

There are many rice fields and rice milling factories. Rice Milling Units (RMU) are still many who have not applied the prediction method for the sale of rice so that it can affect the availability of raw materials. The purpose of this research is to forecast product sales (rice) at RMU so that it can know the number of raw materials needed so that they avoid idle time. Obtain optimal forecasting; it compared to 2 (two) forecasting methods, Linear Regression, and Artificial Neural network with a Backpropagation algorithm. The results showed that the value of MSE on a linear regression method of 0.214, while at the time using Artificial Neural Network obtained an MSE value of 0.00099713. Based on the value of the MSE, the smallest MSE is forecasting by the Backpropagation Neural Network method.

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