On the computation of poisson probabilities
Surendra Devi Chagaboina, Juan Antonio Carrasco, Vı́ctor Suñé · UPCommons institutional repository (Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya) · 2019
The Poisson distribution is a distribution commonly used in statistics. It also plays a central role in the analysis of the transient behaviour of continuous-time Markov chains. Several methods have been devised for evaluating using floating-point arithmetic the probability mass function (PMF) of the Poisson distribution. Restricting our attention to published methods intended for the computation of a single probability or a few of them, we show that neither of them is completely satisfactory in terms of accuracy. With that motivation, we develop a new method for the evaluation of the PDF of the Poisson distribution. The method is intended for the computation of a single probability or a few of them. Numerical experimentation illustrates that the method can be more accurate and slightly faster than the previous methods. Besides, the method comes with guaranteed approximation relative error.