Bayes Theory, Priors, Posteriors, and Bayesian Data Analyses Applied to Probability Predictions
Shalin Hai-Jew · ScholarSpace - JCCC (Johnson County Community College) · 2019
What is the probability that there is a certain "state of the world" given a particular indicator observation? How can prior knowledge of the world be applied to present-moment probabilities? Bayes Theorem has been applied to various types of small data sets for years, and its application applies to educational data as well. This presentation introduces what Bayes Theorem says, and then demonstrates how it can be applied through the RapidMiner Studio to understand probabilities and likelihoods. This will also address what the “naïve” means in a Naïve Bayes Theory application…and what non-naïve Bayes computations may look like.