A Statistical Method for Predicting Recurrent Congestion Time in Urban Freeway
Yeong-Jun Han, Bong-Su Son, Won-Gil Kim · Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for transportation studies/Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies · 2006
As a recurrent congestion of urban freeway occurs in almost same time and section, it is possible to manage the congestion effectively by the expectation and advance correspondence. In the existing traffic management system. we have used pattern data to manage a recurrent congestion. But it is not applicable to an urban freeway which kas various traffic circumstance. In this study, the probability by travel speed using a statistical distribution method will be used to predict the probability of recurrent congestion. It is expected that we can get the point of time and the duration of recurrent congestion, and we can devise an effective advance correspondence and a transportation operation.