If and or: Real and counterfactual possibilities in their truth and probability.
Ruth M. J. Byrne, Philip Nicholas Johnson-Laird · Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition · 2019
had the opposite difference (Experiment 1c). Judgments of truth or falsity distinguished between conditionals that were certain and those that might have counterexamples (Experiment 2a), whereas judgments of the likelihood of truth reflected the probabilities of counterexamples (Experiment 2b). We discuss implications for alternative theories based on standard logic, suppositions, probabilistic logic, and causal Bayes networks. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2020 APA, all rights reserved).