Sufficient Causes: On Oxygen, Matches, and Fires

Judea Pearl · Journal of Causal Inference · 2019

Abstract We demonstrate how counterfactuals can be used to compute the probability that one event was/is a sufficient cause of another, and how counterfactuals emerge organically from basic scientific knowledge, rather than manipulative experiments. We contrast this demonstration with the potential outcome framework and address the distinction between causes and enablers.

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