On some Extensions of the Sequential Monte Carlo methods in high-order Hidden Markov Models

Mouhamad Mounirou Allaya, Alioune Coulibaly, El Hadj Dème, Mouhamadou Moustapha Kâ, Babacar Sène · Afrika Statistika · 2019

We analyze some extensions of the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in the context of nonlinear state space models. Namely, we tailor the SMC methods to handle high-order HMM through the customary recursions of posterior distributions. It proceeds on mimicking the two-step procedure that is, the prediction step and the update step, in the derivation of the filter distribution. Once stated, we extend some smoothing recursions as the Forward-Backward algorithm and the Backward smoother to deal with the actual smoothing distributions in high-order HMM. Finally, we give few examples as an application of these extensions.

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