CloudInsight: Utilizing a Council of Experts to Predict Future Cloud Application Workloads
In Kee Kim, Wei Wang, Yanjun Qi, Marty Humphrey · 2018
Many predictive approaches have been proposed to overcome the limitations of reactive autoscaling on clouds. These approaches leverage workload predictors that are usually targeted for a particular workload pattern and can fail to handle real-world cloud workloads whose patterns may be unknown a priori, may dynamically change over time, or may be irregular. The result is that resources are frequently under-and overprovisioned. To address this problem, we create a novel cloud workload prediction framework called CloudInsight, leveraging the combined power of multiple workload predictors that collectively provide a "council of experts". The weights of the predictors in this ensemble model are determined in real-time based on their accuracy for current workload using multi-class regression. Under real workload traces, CloudInsight has 13% - 27% better accuracy than state-of-the-art predictors. It also has low overhead for predicting future workload changes (<; 100 ms) and creating a new ensemble workload predictor (<; 1.1 sec.).