Bayesian belief updating after a replication experiment
Alex O. Holcombe, Samuel J. Gershman · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · 2018
Zwaan et al. and others discuss the importance of the inevitable differences between a replication experiment and the corresponding original experiment. But these discussions are not informed by a principled, quantitative framework for taking differences into account. Bayesian confirmation theory provides such a framework. It will not entirely solve the problem, but it will lead to new insights.