Wavelet spectra and filtering of tropical cyclone forecast errors

David Herschel Smith · International Journal of Wavelets Multiresolution and Information Processing · 2017

Ensemble mean forecast errors during a tropical cyclone event are probed with a spherical wavelet transform constructed by the lifting scheme. Coefficient spectra and associated filtered error components are examined during the forecast, with an emphasis on feature detection, for mean sea level pressure and wind components. Leading wavelet coefficients within a reference circle centered on the estimated cyclone track demonstrate a clear affinity for local error extrema, reflecting the transform’s feature detection capacity. Compression performance of the transform is also demonstrated by truncated wavelet expansions, which exhibit contrasting behavior reflecting fundamental structural differences between the wind and pressure error fields.

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