A new mathematical model for analytical risk assessment and prediction in IT systems

Imed El Fray, Mirosław Kurkowski, Jerzy Pejaś, Witold Maćków · Control and Cybernetics · 2012

Abstract: In this paper, we propose a new formal model to describe risk analysis and measurement process for IT systems. Our model complies with international standards and recommendations for non-profit organisations. The model accounts for solutions used in widely known and recommended risk analysis methods and provides for evaluation of efficacy of these solutions. A simple example illustrates the application of the proposed model for effective risk analysis of any IT system.

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