Analysing Aviation Accidents Using WB-Analysis - an Application of Multimodal Reasoning

Peter Bernard Ladkin, Karsten Loer · 1998

We describe our ongoing work in accident analysis. Accident reports should tell us at least what the accident was and what the critical events were. A third requirement hey should fulfil is to ex-plain these events (see below) and their sequence (-~temporal reasoning). Explanation concerns causes (-~cansal reasoning), human intentions, purposes, capabilities and behavior (so-called hu-man factors). Causality also involves the unfold-ing of events in time (Ladkin, Explaining Failure in Tense Logic, RVS-P~-96-13). We include so-cial factors- obligations and the regulatory envi-ronment- amongst the human factors (--+deontic reasoning). Our goal is a rigorous method of in-

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