The Research of the Network Security Situation Prediction Mechanism Based on the Complex Network

Shouxin Sun · 2015

Most of the existing network security situation prediction mechanisms are only directed by the prediction of the situation value, but these methods do not reveal the problem of the dynamics features of the network situational factors. For these issues, this paper proposes the network security situation prediction mechanism based on the complex network. By this mechanism, we can easily and intuitively trace the dynamics features in the value fluctuations of the network security situation prediction. After that, this paper proposes Markov prediction method based on the complex network, so that we can achieve an effective prediction of the Security Status. Through simulation analysis, the network security situation prediction mechanism based on the complex network can reflect the essence behavior of the system to some extent. At the same time this mechanism can precisely predict the Security Status in the complex network.

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