The History of Fallout Prediction
Jay C. Willis · 1979
The development of the science of fallout prediction in this country from 1950 to 1979 is described. The chronological description emphasizes early developments and the relationships between some of the significant calculational models. The earliest work on fallout prediction discussed in that performed by RAND on Project Aureole in 1954, and the evolution is carried through to the derivatives of the DELFIC computer code. A section is devoted to the histories of four commonly used handbook prediction systems. (Author)