Effectiveness evaluation for C~4ISR system based on evidence theory and cloud theory

Quan Pan · Journal of Naval University of Engineering · 2011

To solve the problem of qualitative evaluation for C4ISR system effectiveness,a method was proposed based on evidence theory and cloud theory.Effectiveness reliability model was constructed at first,so the uncertainty in the course of qualitative evaluation can be reflected by effectiveness reliability set by evaluation experts.Then the discounting evidence combination rule was used to fuse the results in order to get the reasonable evaluation ones,which overcomes the highly conflict generated by the knowledge difference among evaluation experts.Finally,the qualitative result of effectiveness evaluation was generated by using the method of membership cloud gravity center(MCGC).Simulation results show that this method is simple and effective and can be applicable to qualitative evaluation for other similar complicated systems.

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