Combining forecast based on fuzzy optimal selection of multi attributes semi structural decision-making
Yuxiang Huang · Electric Power · 2005
In the decision-making support system of electric power planning, a corresponding approach using the decision-making method of fuzzy optimal selection was presented to recommend and confirm the long-middle term load forecasting result truely and scientifically. The hierarchy structure of decision-making for the satisfied forecasting was established. Either the quantitative objects were computed exactly as eigenvalue matrix, or the qualitative criteria were taken into account as fuzzy comparison matrix. The relative membership degrees of them were calculated according to same standard. The fuzzy optimal selection method of multi-attributes was improved and used to assess, select and combine the load forecasting results. The practice example shows that the approach takes account of interrelated factors sufficiency and can be applied in the support system of planning and forecasting, and is feasible, reasonable and practical.