Some Investigations on Monitoring Signals of Macro-economic Climate Index of China
Ying Ge · Journal of Zhangzhou Normal University · 2009
Recently,National Bureau of Statistics of China has released monitoring signals of macro-economic climate index of China from 2008-05 to 2009-04.Based on these monitoring signals,we establish an information system.In this information system,business cycle signal index is taken as a decision attribute and the index of industrial production,investment of fixed assets,the total retail sales of consumer goods,import and export volume,revenue,the profits of industrial enterprises,residence disposable income,financial institutions loans,money supply M2,CPI are taken as condition attributes.We use rough-set theory(Rough-set theory is a logic-mathematical method proposed by Z.Pawlak.In recent years,this theory has been widely implemented in the many fields of natural science and societal science.) to investigate the importance of each condition attribute with respective to decision attribute and the strength of each condition attribute supporting decision attribute.Results of this investigation will be helpful for Chinese government to make active macro-economic policy and to maintain the steady and relatively fast development of Chinese economy.