Application of GRM (1,n) Model in Forecasting Natural Gas Hydrate Formation

Zhou Ha · Natural Gas Technology · 2007

To solve the problems such as some information were known,some information were unknown those existing in forecasting natural gas hydrate creating,a forecasting techniques based on gray system theory was developed,and the matrix used to show data of forecasting natural gas hydrate creating was developed.Taking the condensate gas test data of YAHA oil field and HUABEI oil field as well as PINGHU oil field as the stylebook of forecasting,adopting GRM(1,n)to forecast the hydrate creating temperature of PINGHU condensate gas,comparing the forecasting data with measured data and forecasting data by neural network forecasting method in literature 4,the comparing result showed GRM(1,n)forecasting method can get better forecasting result than other method.

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