Forecasting for Aero-Materials' Consumption Rate Based on Time Series Analysis
Zuo Zhao-jun · Journal of Changsha Aeronautical Vocational and Technical College · 2004
This paper develops the method of time series analysis to forecast the consumption rate of the aero-material. It dissolves the influences of long-term trend and period alteration by means of move-average method, then calculates the season exponent and adjusts it. The forecast can be done by trend equation that is set up according to the raw data. It's applicable and useful for the materials' reliability and application.