Simulation Creditability Analysis of the Missile Impact Point Based on Information Likelihood Rate
HU De-wen · Acta Simulata Systematica Sinica · 2005
A definition of simulation creditability of the missile impact point is given in theory. A calculation formula of simulation creditability has been deduced by used Bayesian method and a few of key problems about calculating simulation creditability have been solved by using the concept of information likelihood rate. The relationship between simulation creditability and simulation cost has been analyzed and a valuable result has been obtained, that is, their relationship can been approximately described by sigmoid function.