Simulation Based Mission Reliability Calculation Methods of Complex Weapon System
Huijie Li · Acta Simulata Systematica Sinica · 2002
This paper discusses mission reliability assessment and basic calculation method of MTBCF (Mission Time Between Critical Failure). It analyses the estimation methods of lower confidence limits of complex system reliability with simulation, including sample method, simulation algorithm and system reliability synthetic method. It is not always right that fault distribution function of complex system is exponential distribution by the examples. It must be decided through data test or else there is high error in the calculating result. The reduction model based comparison of simulation methods with calculating results of analytic methods is given. The effective methods are provided for engineering.