FINANCIAL RISK EARLY-WARNING-AN ANALYSIS BASED ON BP ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MODEL

Hu Yan · Journal of Qingdao University · 2002

Through training and testing the artificial neural network model for the financial risk earlywarning, we have broken through the traditional pattern of risk earlywarning and constructed a model based on the improved BP artificial neural network model.We have analyzed financial risk situation quantitatively and drawn some primary conclusions:China′s finance runs a high risk;financial risk is related not only to capital market ,but also to the effects of active fiscal policies;foreign speculative capital has not brought severe shocks to Chinese financial market.Therefore we offer some countermeasure against the financial risk.

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