The Study on the Application of Artificial Neural Network to the Enterprise's Economy Forecasting and Prewarning
Yan Liu · Shuxue de shijian yu renshi · 2008
This text put forward the construction scheme of forecasting and warning system in enterprise short-term economic based on ANN technology which is suitet to the listed company. This system is a type of man-machine feedback system which includs 4 subsystem of crisis judging,financial index predicting,early warning knowledge acquisiting and reporting.This system conhines qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis together,which not only stresses man's function,but also gives full play to the technology in predicting of the artificial neural network.Among them,the economic index predicting subsystem can reflected the application of ANN technology in time array predicting.The knowledge acquisition subsystem and warning subsystem can the reflect the application of ANN technology in regression predicting.These two subsystem have a very good theoretical foundation.Meanwhile,the procedure that should be set up systematically is more normal,general and right,easy to operate,and easier to be realized.At last,this text also give analysis of a real example simulation about this system, and then verify its validity through comparing with the experts opinions.