THE DISCUSS OF THE PREDICTABILITY OF CLIMATIC OR ATMOSPHERIC SYSTEM
Zhenyang Lin · Chinese Journal of Geophysics · 1999
The predictability of climatic or atmospheric systems is discussed in this paper. The study results show that the linear systems, one-dimensional autonomous dynamic systems and two-dimensional autonomous dynamic systems are numerically predictable, and results of numerical prediction will be better than that of statistics for these systems. But the methods of statistical prediction are more rigorous than that of numerical prediction for the chaos systems. There are limits of predicatable times for the developing behaviour of non-chaos region of a chaos system and for the non-chaos system.