Two Kinds of New Forecasting Models on Seasonal Variable Time Series
Cai Zheng-gao · Journal of Hefei University · 2006
A new multiplicative decomposable model is put forward on seasonal variable time series,which is expressed by the product of four factors that are annual variable factor,seasonal variable factor,general mean value and random variable factor.Then asymptotic forecasting model and multiplicative forecasting model are proposed based on the multiplicative decomposable expression.Finally,an example is illustrated to show its satisfactory result.